Now that we have reached the mid-point of the regular season it is the perfect time to access our team’s performance. Coaches should utilize analytical tools to provide insights on their own team and how they compare to their conference or the entire field. What are some of these tools? One tool is DribbleHandoff’s innovative and proprietary metric to measure a team's offensive and defensive shot quality. ShotQ℠ is updated daily on this page: ShotQ Why does shot quality matter? DribbleHandoff conducted an extensive study to determine the biggest factor in wins. The analysis showed that 82% of games are won by the team that shot the higher eFG% in the game. The problem with eFG% is that the metric only captures the shot results. In games, it is actually better to measure shooting based off of shot quality than it is eFG%. Shot quality is process-based, while eFG% is results-based. Ohio State head coach Chris Holtmann said this week, “the quality of shot is the biggest thing we’ve got to continue to evaluate.” Coach Holtmann is exactly right – every coach should be studying and evaluating their team’s shot quality, especially at this point in the season. How can coaches use ShotQ℠ to evaluate their team’s performance? Knowing that eFG% and ShotQ℠ are so highly correlated, we can compare a team’s eFG% and ShotQ to gain insight about their players and project the trajectory of their eFG%. For example, last year, on November 30th, Furman ranked 21st in offensive ShotQ℠, but their eFG% rank was 147th. The shots started falling. They went on to rank 19th in eFG%. To demonstrate how coaches can use ShotQ℠ as an evaluation tool today, we can evaluate a couple of AP Top 25 teams as an example.
AP Top 25 Teams – Potential Shooting Percentage Changes Potential Negative eFG% Movement Kansas defense - 23rd in eFG% and 121st in ShotQ℠ San Diego St. offense - 34th in eFG% and 158th in ShotQ℠ Stable Ranks Michigan State defense - 9th in eFG% and 10th in ShotQ℠ Dayton offense - 1st in eFG% and 1st in ShotQ℠ Potential Positive eFG% Movement Gonzaga defense - 145th in eFG% and 54th in ShotQ℠ Kentucky offense - 125th in eFG% and 18th in ShotQ℠ It is worth noting that just because we could expect a change in shooting percentage based off a team's ShotQ℠ doesn’t mean that the change will occur in the next game or games. Due to sample size limitations of the college basketball schedule, the change could take weeks, and, in a few cases, it may not occur in the remainder of the season. As you are evaluating your team, it is not too late to improve your ShotQ℠ and likely your eFG% going forward. ShotQ℠ is not a static figure - it's dynamic. It accounts for every shot in each individual game. Therefore, teams can improve their ShotQ℠ throughout the season by taking better shots. Contact us for consultation services for ShotQ℠ among other tools and solutions.
2 Comments
8/28/2022 11:34:36 am
anks for sharing the article, and more importantly, your personal experience mindfully using our emotions as data about our inner state and knowing when it’s better to de-escalate by taking a time out are great tools. Appreciate you reading and sharing your story since I can certainly relate and I think others can to
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8/28/2022 11:44:10 am
anks for sharing the article, and more importantly, your personal experience mindfully using our emotions as data about our inner state and knowing when it’s better to de-essdcalate by taking a time out are great tools. Appreciate you reading and sharing your story since I can certainly relate and I think others can to
Reply
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